The Bull Oak Journal

A bi-weekly newsletter from our Founder & Portfolio Manager, Ryan A. Hughes. Straight talk on markets, taxes, and money. Read by 2,700+ people who value clear thinking.

Rancho Santa Fe
Investing

Mid-Year 2026 Portfolio Update

Twice a year, in January and July, we record a portfolio update that walks through the markets, how we build portfolios, and where we think things are headed. This is the mid-year 2026 edition. The economy: good, not great The U.S. economy is still expanding. Growth ran about 2.1% in the first quarter, and the...

Current Topics

The Iranian War & Inflation

Stocks are down. Oil is up. Bond yields are up. And most people are just trying to figure out what is actually going on. I thought about a few different approaches for this post. Historical geopolitical conflicts and stock returns. How the new Fed Chairman might navigate this. But I kept coming back to the...

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The 2026 SaaSpocalypse: What the AI Software Selloff Means for Your Portfolio

Software stocks have lost $2 trillion in market cap over the past twelve months. Salesforce is down 30%. Workday is down 33%. This selloff has a name: the SaaSpocalypse. Here’s what it means for your portfolio. Let me preface this by saying I am by no means an AI expert. I don’t know how to...

Top Fee-Only Financial Advisors in San Diego
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Top Fee-Only Financial Advisors in San Diego (2026 Guide)

We’re updating this list in 2026 to reflect the ongoing changes in the personal finance landscape here in San Diego. The advisory industry has continued to evolve over the past several years: through consolidation, shifting service models, and changes in how firms structure advice and client relationships. For example, we previously included Dowling & Yahnke...

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5 For 2026

The S&P 500 was up 16% last year, despite the many concerns we had this time last year. If you recall, we entered the year concerned about how the market would respond to Trump’s proposed policies (import tariffs, immigration crackdown, a Bitcoin Reserve, etc.). Some of the concerns we had at the time were warranted,...

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